BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Packwood Pekin

Class: 1A Class Rank: 53 Conference: (11-5-0) Overall: (18-16-0) Overall Strength =   18.43

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/21/2012 Home    L *  16.71   3   4   1A  58 (11-16) Riverside Highland     -1.46      0.46                      
  2 05/22/2012 Home    W *  26.52  16   1   2A  93 ( 5-20) Winfield-Mount Union    8.35      6.65                      
  3 05/23/2012 Home    W    27.32  16   0   1A 119 ( 6-18) New London              9.15      6.85                      
  4 05/24/2012 Home    L    12.03   2  13   2A  27 (10-26) Albia                  -6.15     -4.85                      
  5 05/25/2012 Home    W *  20.18   6   2   2A  84 (20-13) Wapello                 2.00      2.00                      
  6 05/29/2012 Away    W *  15.88  16   0   2A  97 ( 0-17) Columbus Junction      -2.29 *   18.29                      
  7 05/30/2012 Away    L    16.84   2  11   2A  10 (22-10) Wilton                 -1.33     -7.67                      
  8 06/01/2012 Home    W *  19.87   3   2   1A  49 (18- 8) Lone Tree               1.70     -0.70                      
  9 06/02/2012 Unknown L    19.32   5   6   1A  32 (18- 8) North Mahaska           1.15     -2.15                      
 10 06/02/2012 Unknown L    19.20   9  12   2A  31 (12-23) Pella Christian         1.03     -4.03                      
 11 06/04/2012 Away    L *  10.12   0   4   2A  89 (13-19) Louisa-Muscatine       -8.05      4.05                      
 12 06/06/2012 Home    L    18.43   7  12   2A  24 (21-17) Wellman Mid-Prairie     0.26     -5.26                      
 13 06/07/2012 Away    W    29.80  13   0   2A  80 (16-12) Eldon Cardinal         11.63      1.37                      
 14 06/08/2012 Away    W *  20.87   6   4   1A  47 (16-11) Iowa Mennonite          2.70     -0.70                      
 15 06/11/2012 Home    W *  23.10   6   0   2A  85 (12-13) Mediapolis              4.93      1.07                      
 16 06/12/2012 Away    L *  11.48   0   6   1A  58 (11-16) Riverside Highland     -6.69      0.69                      
 17 06/13/2012 Home    L    21.70   1   6   2A   7 (25-11) Eddyville-Blakesburg    3.53     -8.53                      
 18 06/16/2012 Unknown W    18.59   3   2   2A  74 (16-12) Central Lee             0.42      0.58                      
 19 06/16/2012 Unknown L    18.29   0   8   1A   5 (30- 7) Preston                 0.12     -8.12                      
 20 06/18/2012 Away    W *  21.94  10   4   2A  84 (20-13) Wapello                 3.77      2.23  10 innings          
 21 06/19/2012 Home    W *  12.12  15   3   2A  97 ( 0-17) Columbus Junction      -6.05 *   18.05                      
 22 06/21/2012 Home    W    25.85  12   3   1A  69 (13-16) Sigourney               7.68      1.32                      
 23 06/22/2012 Away    W *  23.64  14   9   1A  49 (18- 8) Lone Tree               5.47     -0.47                      
 24 06/23/2012 Home    W    12.32   3   2   1A 119 ( 6-18) New London             -5.85      6.85                      
 25 06/23/2012 Home    L    13.71   3  13   2A  21 (26- 2) Keosauqua Van Buren    -4.47     -5.53  4 innings           
 26 06/25/2012 Home    L *  13.36   2   3   2A  89 (13-19) Louisa-Muscatine       -4.81      3.81                      
 27 06/26/2012 Home    L    11.71   7  13   2A  74 (16-12) Central Lee            -6.46      0.46                      
 28 06/27/2012 Home    L    15.40   1  15   2A   2 (42- 2) Bloomfield Davis       -2.77    -11.23                      
 29 06/29/2012 Home    L *  15.11   1   5   1A  47 (16-11) Iowa Mennonite         -3.06     -0.94                      
 30 07/02/2012 Away    W *  24.87  11   3   2A  85 (12-13) Mediapolis              6.70      1.30                      
 31 07/05/2012 Away    W    13.77  16   9   1A 137 ( 1-20) Farmington Harmony     -4.40     11.40                      
 32 07/06/2012 Away    W *  17.29  14   8   2A  93 ( 5-20) Winfield-Mount Union   -0.88      6.88                      
 33 07/10/2012 Home    W    16.64   5   0   1A 117 ( 4-17) Keota                  -1.53      6.53                      
 34 07/12/2012 Home    L    13.85   5   8   1A  69 (13-16) Sigourney              -4.32      1.32                      
      Averages              18.17   6.9  5.6

Best game:   29.80 = 13 point win over Eldon Cardinal
Worst game:  10.12 = 4 point loss to Letts Louisa-Muscatine
Team stdev:   5.11